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American Politics Research
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Leading the Way

An Analysis of the Effect of Religion on the Latino Vote

Jongho Lee

Western Illinois University, Macomb

Harry P. Pachon

University of Southern California, Los Angeles

To examine the impact of religion on the Latino vote, we draw on data from a pre-election survey of 1,603 Latino registered voters conducted in October 2004. We advance the argument that religious identity is politically salient only among Latino evangelicals. Controlling for a host of voting determinants, we show that religious identity has an independent effect on the vote among Latino evangelicals. Furthermore, Latino evangelicals who identify with the Republican Party are found to be more-committed supporters of the incumbent president. The existence of a religion gap suggests that the Latino electorate may become much less cohesive as a voting bloc as religious affiliation becomes more pluralistic in the Latino community.

Key Words: Latino voting • 2004 presidential election • religious affiliation • Catholic voters • President Bush • John Kerry • swing voters • Hispanics

American Politics Research, Vol. 35, No. 2, 252-272 (2007)
DOI: 10.1177/1532673X06295300
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N. J. Kelly and J. Morgan
Religious Traditionalism and Latino Politics in the United States
American Politics Research, March 1, 2008; 36(2): 236 - 263.
[Abstract] [PDF]