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American Politics Research
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The Role of Candidate Choice in the California Recall Election

Eric McGhee

Public Policy Institute of California, San Francisco, mcghee{at}ppic.org

Mark Baldassare

Public Policy Institute of California, San Francisco

Many have argued that the reelection and later recall of Governor Gray Davis in California serves as a perfect example of how primaries draw politics to the extremes by nominating candidates too liberal or conservative for the general electorate. Davis defeated a conservative Republican opponent in his reelection campaign, only to lose in the recall just one year later when there were no primaries to prevent a moderate Republican from running. We test this notion with survey data from both elections. We find that the choice of candidates was important to votes in each election, but evaluations of Davis were far more significant and largely determined the outcome. We conclude with implications for the role of primaries in American politics generally.

Key Words: 2003 California recall election • gubernatorial elections • voting • candidate evaluation • primary elections

This version was published on May 1, 2009

American Politics Research, Vol. 37, No. 3, 465-485 (2009)
DOI: 10.1177/1532673X08322816


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