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Comparing Predictors of Women's Congressional Election Success: Candidates, Primaries, and the General Election
Heather L. Ondercin
and
Susan Welch*
* To whom correspondence should be addressed. E-mail: swelch{at}psu.edu.
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Abstract |
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Examining all Congressional races from 1992 through 2000, we explore why, over time, some districts are more likely to have women candidates and to elect women than are others. We focus on the obvious, but rarely explored, fact that womens election success is a product of three key stages of the election process: women running, womens successes in the primaries, and finally, womens general election successes. We find that different factors predict success at each stage and that the predictors of womens candidacies and success in open seat races are different than in others.
First published on April 1, 2009, doi:10.1177/1532673X08325198
American Politics Research 2009;37:593.
A more recent version of this article appeared on July 1, 2009

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